It’s April 3rd 2018, which means spring is here, we are in the second quarter of 2018 and it’s time for the Drive’s College Football Hour Glass – our analytical system dedicated to picking and projecting college football games.
If you are just hearing about our system, it is a numbers based system used to pick every college football game in Division One, and do so five months before we ever play a snap or spring game. We use three basic criteria on the Hour Glass and those are a three year recruiting evaluation stamp or ranking, a three year coaching stamp or ranking and a returning quarterback rank or stamp. All those numbers give us a team identifier that allows us to rank teams, coaches, recruiting, quarterback play and ultimately decide the fate of college football teams.
Last year was a monumental year for the Hour Glass as we picked 526 college football games and pegged 432 of them, which is good for 83%. That prediction rate is higher than almost all the big boys in college football or your main stream media outlets. We also were 66% ATS (Against the Spread), on in game action in 2017.
The Graph below also shows you how good we were on all Power Five win totals, pegging 72% of all teams within TWO games or less of their final win totals.
We pegged seven of 10 participants in Conference Championship Weekend, four of five conference winners and the National Champion in Alabama and did it all at this time last year.
This year we are expanding our coverage to all 130 teams, which means we have already predicted the outcome of every game in the Group of Five, Power Five and Independents. To be exact, we had every game finished on March 3, 2018, almost SIX Months to the day, from the start of college football.
Over the next several months we will roll out team previews, conference previews, rankings of all kinds and who we think ends up in the College Football Playoff and more.
Before we go any further I want to thank John Luke McCord with SES Mississippi for joining our Hour Glass team and contributing to a ton of content. We could not do this alone so we appreciate the work John Luke has done and his contributions.
We would also like to thank Wint Mcgee with Supreme Lending for helping make this project possible. Make sure for all your mortgage needs you give Wint a call at 601 906 7074 or head over to mortgagemanms.com today.
So without further ado, let’s start diving into the data.
Talent, Talent and more Talent – It Matters
We will get more into talent as the year progresses, but regardless of what the bull headed Bob Meat fan says; talent matters. Since 1998 we have seen the average four year recruiting composite of the National Champion in College Football settle out at a national ranking of 6th in the country. Conversely, we have seen the runner up settle out around 10th in the country in recruiting.
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